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The Scenario Planning in the Oil and Gas Industry Course gives strategy, planning, and leadership professionals a structured, practical framework for developing, presenting, and applying scenarios that support better strategic decisions in one of the world's most complex and volatile industries.
Oil and gas organisations face an unusually wide range of strategic uncertainties from energy transition pressures, geopolitical shifts, and commodity price volatility, to technological disruption and evolving regulatory environments. Scenario planning provides a proven method for navigating that uncertainty — enabling organisations to prepare for multiple futures rather than betting everything on a single forecast.
This course covers the complete scenario planning process from big picture thinking and horizon scanning, through facilitating scenario workshops, generating and quantifying scenarios, wind tunnelling, and strategy integration, to transferring the methodology into existing planning and budgeting processes. Delegates develop both the technical methodology and the essential soft skills needed to lead scenario planning effectively within their organisations.
The Scenario Planning in the Oil and Gas Industry Course is built for professionals who want to move strategic planning beyond conventional forecasting and into genuine future preparedness.
The Scenario Planning in the Oil and Gas Industry Course is designed to develop the methodology, facilitation skills, and strategic application capability needed to lead and embed scenario planning within oil and gas organisations.
By the end of this course, participants will be able to:
The Scenario Planning in the Oil and Gas Industry Course is designed for strategy, planning, and leadership professionals in oil and gas organisations who are responsible for or contribute to long-term strategic planning, investment decisions, and organisational resilience under uncertainty.
This course is suitable for:
The Scenario Planning in the Oil and Gas Industry Course is delivered through an engaging, participative learning approach that combines scenario planning methodology with hands-on application moving from conceptual frameworks and horizon scanning through to live scenario development, wind tunnelling, and organisational integration planning.
Delegates work through the scenario planning process as it would be applied in a real oil and gas strategic planning context developing scenarios, presenting them, testing them against strategies, and mapping the next steps for implementation in their own organisations.
Delivery methods include:
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Common questions about our training courses
This course is designed for strategy managers, corporate planners, senior leaders, business development professionals, risk management specialists, and government and regulatory professionals who are responsible for or contribute to long-term strategic planning in oil and gas organisations. It is equally valuable for those new to scenario planning who want a structured methodology and for experienced planners looking to formalise and strengthen their scenario development and facilitation capability.
Facilitating scenario workshops is addressed directly within Day 2 — covering how to design and run effective workshops, how to engage participants in generating and challenging assumptions, and how to move a group from divergent thinking to structured scenario frameworks. Delegates leave with the facilitation confidence and practical tools needed to lead scenario planning sessions within their own organisations — a capability that is often the limiting factor in making scenario planning a repeatable organisational practice.
Wind tunnelling is the process of stress-testing existing strategies against each scenario to identify where a strategy is robust, where it is vulnerable, and what adaptations it may require under different futures. Day 4 covers wind tunnelling in practical terms — helping delegates understand how to apply it within their own strategic planning process and how to use the insights it generates to strengthen strategic resilience across the organisation.
Day 2 covers the identification of driving forces and key uncertainties as foundational elements of scenario development — using horizon scanning techniques, early warning systems, and big data to detect the forces most likely to shape the future of oil and gas. Delegates develop the ability to identify which uncertainties matter most strategically, distinguish them from predetermined elements, and use them as the building blocks for meaningful, differentiated scenarios.
Day 3 covers scenario development in full — including how to generate scenarios from key uncertainties, conduct scenario impact assessments, name and expand scenarios, quantify them, and bring them to life using rich pictures and narrative vignettes. Delegates develop the ability to create scenarios that are compelling enough to engage senior decision-makers and analytically rigorous enough to support real strategic choices.
Essential soft skills and change leadership are addressed on Day 5 — covering the personal and team competencies needed to champion scenario planning within an organisation, how to manage the cultural and political challenges of introducing new planning approaches, and how to lead the change that makes scenario planning a sustained organisational capability rather than a one-off exercise. Delegates develop the personal effectiveness to be the driver of better strategic thinking within their teams and organisations.
