Why Choose Introduction to Greenhouse Gas Emissions Forecasting Training Course?
Organisations are facing increasing pressure to understand, measure and reduce their greenhouse gas emissions. Governments, investors, regulators, customers and other stakeholders now expect credible information not only about current emissions but also about how emissions are likely to change under different operational, economic and policy conditions.
Greenhouse gas emissions forecasting provides a structured approach for estimating future emissions and assessing whether an organisation, project or jurisdiction is on track to achieve its climate and decarbonisation commitments. Effective forecasting requires more than extending historical trends. It involves establishing reliable emissions baselines, selecting appropriate activity data and emission factors, analysing operational and market drivers, and developing realistic assumptions about future growth, technology, energy consumption and regulatory requirements.
This Introduction to Greenhouse Gas Emissions Forecasting training course introduces the principles, methodologies and practical tools used to develop credible greenhouse gas emissions forecasts. Participants will learn how to define forecast boundaries, organise emissions according to Scope 1, Scope 2 and relevant Scope 3 categories, and convert operational projections into carbon dioxide equivalent emissions.
The course also explores business-as-usual projections, scenario analysis, uncertainty assessment and emissions-reduction modelling. Through practical exercises and case studies, participants will learn how to translate emissions data into meaningful forecasts that support climate strategy, investment decisions, regulatory reporting and the development of achievable net-zero pathways.
What are the Goals?
By the end of this training course, participants will be able to:
- Explain the purpose and value of greenhouse gas emissions forecasting
- Understand the principal greenhouse gases and their sources
- Establish organisational and operational forecasting boundaries
- Develop reliable historical emissions baselines
- Select appropriate activity data and emission factors
- Forecast Scope 1, Scope 2 and relevant Scope 3 emissions
- Develop business-as-usual and alternative emissions scenarios
- Evaluate the effect of emissions-reduction initiatives
- Assess uncertainty and improve forecast reliability
- Present forecast results to support planning and decision-making
Who is this Training Course for?
This training course is suitable for:
- Environmental and sustainability professionals
- Carbon accounting and climate-change specialists
- Energy and utility professionals
- Corporate strategy and planning managers
- Environmental, social and governance professionals
- Engineers, operations managers and project professionals
- Risk, compliance and reporting specialists
- Government and regulatory authority representatives
- Consultants involved in emissions management and decarbonisation
How will this Training Course be Presented?
This course combines technical presentations, facilitated discussions, practical calculations, forecasting exercises and case studies. Participants will work with simplified emissions datasets and develop forecasts under different operational and decarbonisation scenarios. The methodology emphasises practical application and clear communication of assumptions, limitations and results.
The Course Content
- Climate change and the role of greenhouse gas emissions
- Principal greenhouse gases and their major sources
- Understanding carbon dioxide equivalent and global warming potential
- Introduction to greenhouse gas accounting principles
- Organisational and operational boundaries
- Scope 1, Scope 2 and Scope 3 emissions
- The relationship between inventories, forecasts and reduction targets
- Overview of emissions-reporting frameworks and requirements
- Defining the purpose, scope and forecast period
- Identifying emissions sources and relevant activity data
- Collecting, validating and organising historical information
- Selecting and applying appropriate emission factors
- Calculating direct and energy-related emissions
- Selecting a representative base year
- Addressing missing, incomplete or inconsistent data
- Practical exercise: Developing a greenhouse gas baseline
- Fundamental principles of emissions forecasting
- Trend analysis and activity-based forecasting
- Forecasting energy consumption, fuel use and production levels
- Developing assumptions for economic and operational growth
- Accounting for changes in technology and energy efficiency
- Understanding market, policy and regulatory influences
- Selecting suitable forecasting models and time horizons
- Practical exercise: Preparing a business-as-usual forecast
- Designing credible alternative emissions scenarios
- Business-as-usual, reduction and net-zero scenarios
- Modelling renewable energy and energy-efficiency initiatives
- Forecasting the impact of fuel switching and electrification
- Integrating carbon capture and emerging technologies
- Evaluating individual and combined reduction measures
- Developing marginal abatement and reduction pathways
- Practical exercise: Comparing alternative emissions scenarios
- Identifying uncertainty in activity data and emission factors
- Conducting sensitivity and uncertainty analysis
- Avoiding double counting and calculation inconsistencies
- Comparing forecasts with targets and carbon budgets
- Developing meaningful emissions indicators and dashboards
- Documenting methodologies, assumptions and limitations
- Communicating forecast results to decision-makers
- Final workshop: Developing an emissions forecast and action roadmap
Certificate
- AZTech Certificate of Completion for delegates who attend and complete the training course
Do you want to learn more about this course?
Register now or contact our team to discuss schedules, delivery formats, and customised options.